European Futures
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European Futures

Five Possible Scenarios for 2010

9781840644500 Edward Elgar Publishing
Gilles Bertrand, Forward Studies Unit, European Commission, Belgium, Anna Michalski, Associate Professor, Department of Government, Uppsala University, Sweden and Lucio R. Pench, Forward Studies Unit, European Commission, Belgium
Publication Date: November 2000 ISBN: 978 1 84064 450 0 Extent: 136 pp
This book is an innovative and highly original exercise in scenario building, the aim of which is to investigate the future of Europe. The scenarios investigated by the authors include ‘triumphant markets’, ‘turbulent neighbourhoods’, ‘the hundred flowers’, ‘shared responsibilities’ and ‘creative societies’. These are five coherent and thought-provoking images of Europe in 2010. Rather than present a definitive picture of the future of Europe, the authors highlight the range of possible futures, and the factors and actors that are likely to shape them. Written in a narrative style, the scenarios are grounded in a rigorous analysis of the main trends affecting Europe’s future, including demography, technology, globalisation and post-modernity.

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Contents
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This book is an innovative and highly original exercise in scenario building, the aim of which is to investigate the future of Europe. The scenarios investigated by the authors include ‘triumphant markets’, ‘turbulent neighbourhoods’, ‘the hundred flowers’, ‘shared responsibilities’ and ‘creative societies’. These are five coherent and thought-provoking images of Europe in 2010. Rather than present a definitive picture of the future of Europe, the authors highlight the range of possible futures, and the factors and actors that are likely to shape them. Written in a narrative style, the scenarios are grounded in a rigorous analysis of the main trends affecting Europe’s future, including demography, technology, globalisation and post-modernity.

This book will appeal to European policymakers and all scholars and students of European studies, particularly those interested in Europe’s future.
Critical Acclaim
‘This book will provide all those interested in the future of Europe with suggestions which they can use to decide on their own idea of what Europe will mean in 2010.’
– European Access
Contents
Contents: Introduction Scenario 1: Triumphant Markets Scenario 2: The Hundred Flowers Scenario 3: Shared Responsibilities Scenario 4: Creative Societies Scenario 5: Turbulent Neighbourhoods 6. What We Know About the Future 7. The Scenarios at a Glance (Key Drivers) 8. How We Built the Scenarios (Methodology) 9. Glossary 10. References 11. Participants in the Working Groups Index
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