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Forecasting Labour Markets in OECD Countries

Measuring and Tackling Mismatches Edited by Michael Neugart, Free University of Bozen/Bolzano, Italy and Klaus Schömann, International University Bremen, Germany
This book offers a wide-ranging overview of the state of labour market forecasting in selected OECD countries. Besides presenting forecasting models, the contributions provide an introduction to past experiences of forecasting, highlight the requirements for building appropriate data sets and present the most up-to-date forecasts available.
Extent: 360 pp
Hardback Price: $164.00 Web: $147.60
Publication Date: 2003
ISBN: 978 1 84376 013 9
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  • eISBN: 978 1 78195 086 9

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This book offers a wide-ranging overview of the state of labour market forecasting in selected OECD countries. Besides presenting forecasting models, the contributions provide an introduction to past experiences of forecasting, highlight the requirements for building appropriate data sets and present the most up-to-date forecasts available.

In most cases the forecasts project mismatches in the labour market as they are likely to occur in the coming years with respect to occupational groups, qualifications and employment in specific sectors. The authors demonstrate how these insights might be used to help reduce employment risks both for the individual worker and the national labour market as a whole. The country examples also show how information on labour market trends is disseminated and used by various actors, such as policymakers, firms and individuals.

In a world of rapid structural change, the results of the research presented in this book could help cushion the impact of potential shocks from future mismatches and skill shortages in the job market. Policymakers at the supranational, national and regional level, and academics in the fields of labour market theory and policy can all draw valuable information from this insightful study.
Contributors: B.S. Barnow, F. Cörvers, A. de Grip, H. Heijke, L. Lassnigg, R.M. Lindley, F. Mañé, M. Neugart, J. Oliver-Alonso, K. Schömann, J. Sexton, D.A. Smith, F. Suzuki, A. Topiol
Contents:

Preface

1. Why Forecast and For Whom? Some Introductory Remarks
Michael Neugart and Klaus Schömann

2. Occupations and Skills in the United States: Projection Methods and Results through 2008
Burt S. Barnow

3. Forecasting Future Skill Needs in Canada
Douglas A. Smith

4. Labour Market Forecasting in Japan: Methodology, Main Results and Implications
Fujikazu Suzuki

5. Projections and Institutions: The State of Play in Britain
Robert M. Lindley

6. A Review of Occupational Employment Forecasting for Ireland
Jerry Sexton

7. Beyond Manpower Planning: A Labour Market Model for the Netherlands and its Forecasts to 2006
Frank Cörvers, Andries de Grip and Hans Heijke

8. French Occupational Outlooks by 2010: A Quantitative Approach Based on the FLIP-FAP Model
Agnes Topiol

9. Projections of Qualifications and Occupations in Austria: Short-term Approaches, Macro Perspective and Emphasis on the Supply Side
Lorenz Lassnigg

10. Projecting Labour Market Developments in Spain through 2010: From Massive Unemployment to Skill Gaps and Labour Shortages?
Ferran Mañé and Josep Oliver-Alonso

Index