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Spatial Scenarios in a Global Perspective

Europe and the Latin Arc Countries Edited by Roberto Camagni, Professor of Urban Economics, Politecnico di Milano and Roberta Capello, Professor of Regional and Urban Economics, Politecnico di Milano, Italy
This up-to-date and insightful book presents post-crisis scenarios for European regions with new methodologies and tools to support quantitative assessment and foresight. The aim is to develop regional forecasting methodologies and tools, appropriate to the regional-local scale but consistent with a general EU-wide approach. This effort is particularly important in a period of economic crisis, as an economic downturn generates high uncertainty about the future of economic systems, and consequently will determine the new winners and losers in a globalized world.
Extent: 224 pp
Hardback Price: $120.00 Web: $108.00
Publication Date: 2011
ISBN: 978 0 85793 561 8
Availability: In Stock
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  • Economics and Finance
  • Regional Economics
  • Urban and Regional Studies
  • Regional Economics
This up-to-date and insightful book presents post-crisis scenarios for European regions with new methodologies and tools to support quantitative assessment and foresight. The aim is to develop regional forecasting methodologies and tools, appropriate to the regional-local scale but consistent with a general EU-wide approach. This effort is particularly important in a period of economic crisis, as an economic downturn generates high uncertainty about the future of economic systems, and consequently will determine the new winners and losers in a globalized world.

An interesting picture of diverse and alternative post-crisis territorial development paths is provided for a case study of the Latin Arc countries (Spain, France and Italy) and the Latin Arc Provinces Network, running along the Western Mediterranean coast. Policy suggestions for the case study area are then built on the scenario results.

Spatial Scenarios in a Global Perspective will strongly appeal to regional economists, economic geographers and policy makers as well as students in regional economics, geography and international business.
‘The rise of endogenous growth thinking has produced an understanding that the national and in fact the global economy depends generally on supply side initiatives that for the most part are driven at the local regional level. Focusing endogenous forces at the regional level has become elemental in our thinking about development and competitiveness at all levels. This book demonstrates that building and testing “local after-crisis scenarios” before crises occur informs policy and leadership at the critical flex points along the regional development horizon.’
– Roger Stough, George Mason University, US
Contributors: A. Affuso, R. Boix, R. Camagni, R. Capello, U. Fratesi, V. Galletto, J. Robert, J. Trullén
Contents:

1. Building Local After-crisis Scenarios in a Global Perspective
Roberto Camagni and Roberta Capello

PART I: SCENARIOS FOR EUROPEAN REGIONS IN A PERIOD OF ECONOMIC CRISIS
2. Driving Forces of Change and Thematic Scenarios for European Regions
Jacques Robert

3. Integrated Scenarios for European Regions
Roberto Camagni, Roberta Capello and Jacques Robert

4. Quantitative Foresights for European Regions
Roberta Capello and Ugo Fratesi

PART II: SCENARIOS AT SUB-REGIONAL LEVEL: THE LATIN ARC COUNTRIES
5. Quantitative Foresights at Sub-regional Level: The Model and Estimation Results
Antonio Affuso, Roberto Camagni and Roberta Capello

6. Quantitative Foresights at Sub-regional Level: Assumptions and Simulation Results
Antonio Affuso and Ugo Fratesi

PART III: THE LATIN ARC AND THE BARCELONA CASE: STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES OF THE TERRITORIAL STRUCTURE
7. The Latin Arc
Antonio Affuso and Ugo Fratesi

8. The Province of Barcelona
Rafael Boix, Joan Trullén and Vittorio Galletto

PART IV: POLICY RECOMMENDATIONS FOR REGIONAL DEVELOPMENT
9. Policy Options for the Latin Arc
Roberto Camagni

10. Policy Scenarios for the Province of Barcelona
Joan Trullén

References

Index